Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 138.282192 157.889377 179.689337 205.794965 236.298968 270.924629 313.360287
2025-11-23 109.747521 134.933673 165.397985 205.230646 256.334246 320.227341 406.990106
2025-11-30 94.290502 122.094700 157.788448 207.507246 275.820082 367.629382 502.474257
2025-12-07 80.296269 108.179218 145.653940 200.498827 280.060328 393.385077 570.866772
2025-12-14 71.154609 99.176127 138.355374 198.219552 289.322211 425.997038 652.872684
2025-12-21 65.202318 93.706340 135.013270 200.667315 305.105703 469.580702 758.095177
2025-12-28 61.761356 91.358254 135.726997 208.954376 330.523606 531.256914 903.108385
2026-01-04 58.037875 88.087908 134.524611 213.819395 350.693058 586.775549 1046.950560
2026-01-11 53.438295 82.930277 129.721019 212.034684 359.085741 622.763122 1160.829681
2026-01-18 50.724763 80.486365 128.968104 216.858822 379.459070 682.872451 1332.195322
2026-01-25 47.345890 76.603884 125.387087 216.214434 389.581277 724.920715 1474.372015
2026-02-01 44.994136 74.218319 124.085041 219.439907 407.269638 784.088471 1664.571821
2026-02-08 41.964816 70.672027 120.892738 219.744702 421.279888 842.193981 1875.748806
2026-02-15 39.047123 67.087417 117.339548 219.084439 433.649943 900.014034 2103.617997
2026-02-22 36.867414 64.604853 115.515821 221.534513 452.832410 976.297712 2398.016022
2026-03-01 33.696618 59.989507 109.184502 213.986268 449.037254 998.942990 2557.118732
2026-03-08 31.454430 56.918561 105.518704 211.532031 456.281624 1049.275898 2807.180077
2026-03-15 29.982800 55.188979 104.309787 214.167697 475.711228 1133.601702 3181.655908
2026-03-22 29.264792 54.861885 105.875622 223.093325 511.673243 1268.137167 3754.900172
2026-03-29 28.233085 53.809320 105.827473 228.334919 539.365460 1386.431228 4316.996994
2026-04-05 26.645346 51.485656 102.870220 226.411920 548.321843 1453.972090 4727.971226
2026-04-12 25.781608 50.589206 102.892071 231.610234 577.054788 1585.762300 5422.674730
2026-04-19 24.512176 48.730761 100.625774 230.915797 589.577679 1671.246256 5973.546603